-
Apa itu kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi, juga dikenal sebagai kalender ekonomi Forex atau Kalender FX, adalah alat yang memungkinkan para trader membuat analisis fundamental pasar keuangan berdasarkan berita ekonomi. Artinya – Anda akan dapat melihat peristiwa makroekonomi yang menggerakkan pasar dan membuat keputusan trading Forex berdasarkan data.
-
Data apa saja yang termasuk dalam kalender ekonomi?
Kalender ekonomi mencakup informasi tentang peristiwa ekonomi besar, serta berita politik dan pengaruhnya terhadap pasar Forex. Semua peristiwa keuangan ini digunakan sebagai indikator ekonomi.
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi juga menunjukkan waktu dan tanggal rilis data indikator, mata uang yang diperkirakan akan terpengaruh, dan tingkat dampak setiap indikator. Sebagian besar indikator memiliki nilai numerik, yang dapat dinyatakan sebagai persentase atau nilai mata uang. Mereka mencerminkan dampak yang dimiliki atau yang akan ditimbulkan oleh indikator tertentu, baik positif maupun negatif.
Kalender ekonomi forex kami memiliki tiga kolom untuk menunjukkan nilai indikator ekonomi: Sebelumnya, Prakiraan, dan Aktual:
- Data sebelumnya menunjukkan nilai indikator pada periode sebelumnya (biasanya, satu bulan atau satu tahun sebelumnya);
- Prakiraan menunjukkan perkiraan nilai indikator berdasarkan survei terhadap 20-240 ekonom;
- Aktual adalah nilai yang dipublikasikan oleh sumber resmi seperti badan statistik nasional atau pusat analitik.
Kami juga memberikan informasi tambahan tentang indikator spesifik dan grafik yang menunjukkan perubahan nilai menurut bulan atau tahun – klik indikator yang Anda minati untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut.
-
Bagaimana cara membaca kalender ekonomi?
Terkadang jumlah peristiwa ekonomi yang terjadi saat ini bisa sangat banyak. Jadi, pertama-tama, pastikan untuk menggunakan filter untuk melihat indikator paling relevan untuk trading Forex Anda. Misalnya, Anda dapat memilih mata uang yang Anda rencanakan untuk diperdagangkan atau dampak indikatornya.
Di bagian atas kalender trading Forex kami, pilih zona waktu yang paling cocok.
Gunakan nilai numerik indikator untuk menavigasi perubahan pasar. Inilah sebabnya mengapa perkiraan dan angka rilis aktual sangat penting. Bandingkan angkanya: jika nilai Aktualnya lebih besar dibandingkan prakiraan, ini bagus untuk mata uang dan kemungkinan akan naik harganya; jika nilai Aktualnya lebih rendah dari Prakiraan, berarti akan turun.
Anda dapat mengaplikasikan logika yang serupa untuk melihat nilai Sebelumnya dan Prakiraan bahkan sebelum data dirilis, tapi berhati-hatilah – prakiraan selalu hanya menunjukkan data awal dan angka sebenarnya mungkin berbeda secara drastis.
-
Ada indikator ekonomi apa saja yang tersedia?
Indikator ekonomi adalah peristiwa ekonomi utama yang digunakan untuk menafsirkan peluang investasi dalam trading Forex. Biasanya peristiwa ekonomi makro yang mempengaruhi mata uang dan harga saham.
Indikatornya bisa 'tmemimpin/leading' (memprediksi perubahan yang akan datang), 'bertepatan/coincident' (menunjukkan keadaan ekonomi saat ini di area tertentu) dan 'tertinggal/lagging' (mengkonfirmasi pola dan tren).
Indikator ekonomi top:
- Kurva Imbal Hasil AS – menunjukkan rasio antara tagihan perbendaharaan (Treasury bills) jangka pendek dan obligasi perbendaharaan (Treasury bonds) jangka panjang. Indikator tersebut berhasil memprediksi delapan resesi besar dalam beberapa tahun terakhir.
- PDB (Produk Domestik Bruto) – merupakan salah satu metrik paling penting dari kesehatan ekonomi. Ini adalah indikator yang tertinggal, jadi ini menunjukkan apa yang telah terjadi, tetapi bisa menjadi penanda bagus dari resesi yang akan datang.
- Tingkat Pengangguran – ini adalah persentase orang yang mencari pekerjaan dan akan menunjukkan seberapa sehat ketenagakerjaan dan juga perekonomiannya secara umum.
- Suku Bunga – adalah indikator tertinggal lainnya yang menunjukkan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ini dapat mempengaruhi PDB dan inflasi, jadi waspadalah terhadap dua hal tersebut.
Ini hanyalah beberapa dari sekian indikator penting. Pastikan untuk mengikuti rencana trading harian kami dari para analis FBS untuk mempelajari lebih lanjut tentang berita trading terkini dan bagaimana hal itu akan mempengaruhi trading Forex Anda.
-
Bagaimana trading saat rilis berita?
Peristiwa keuangan biasanya dijadwalkan sebelumnya. Biasanya ada prediksi menjelang rilis (kolom Prakiraan pada kalender berita Forex kami) tentang bagaimana mereka akan mempengaruhi pasar. Beberapa trader memilih untuk membuka posisi tergantung pada ekspektasi mereka terhadap laporan indikator ekonomi: jika mereka mengharapkan indikator tertentu untuk menaikkan mata uang, mereka akan membelinya dan begitu pula sebaliknya. Sedangkan sebagian trader lainnya tidak menyukai pergerakan harga yang cepat yang mungkin terjadi saat indikator dirilis, jadi mereka menghindari penggunaan kalender FX dan trading berdasarkan berita.
Ada banyak strategi trading berita: Anda harus menggunakan strategi yang menurut Anda paling sesuai dengan gaya trading Anda. FBS, selain menyediakan semua layanan yang diperlukan untuk trading, juga memiliki semua informasi penting untuk kebutuhan setiap trader. Periksa seksi berita kami untuk mengetahui kemungkinan pergerakan pasar.
Bahkan jika Anda bukan tipe orang yang trading berdasarkan berita, Anda tetap harus memeriksa kalender ekonomi trading atau membaca tentang peristiwa ekonomi saat ini secara teratur karena kemungkinan besar akan mempengaruhi volatilitas pasar.
-
Apakah kalender ekonomi diperbarui secara real-time?
Kalender peristiwa ekonomi utama kami diperbarui secara otomatis saat laporan keluar. FBS hadir menyediakan pembaruan kalender ekonomi secara tepat waktu, tetapi kami tidak dapat dimintai pertanggungjawaban atas penundaan apa pun karena arus peristiwa berita trading yang terkadang tidak moderat.
Kalender Ekonomi
Daftar berita ekonomi yang penting
Waktu
Dampak
Mata uang
Peristiwa
Sebelumnya
Ramalan
Sebenarnya
May 10, 2024
03:35
JPY
3-Month Bill Auction
{previous}
0.0259%
{forecast}
{actual}
03:35
JPY
30-Year JGB Auction
{previous}
1.808%
{forecast}
{actual}
05:00
JPY
Eco Watchers Survey Current
{previous}
49.8
{forecast}
50.4
{actual}
The Economy Watchers Current Index measures the current mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. The survey covers eleven regions across the country including Hokkaido, Tohoku, Northern Kanto, Southern Kanto, Tokai, Hokuriku, Kinki, Chugoku, Shikoku, Kyushu, and Okinawa. There were 2,050 people selected among those engaged in jobs in industries. This enabled them to observe any developments that accurately reflect economic activities such as household activity, corporate activity, and employment. A reading above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.
05:00
JPY
Eco Watchers Survey Outlook
{previous}
51.2
{forecast}
{actual}
The Economy Watchers Survey Outlook measures the expected mood of businesses that directly service consumers, such as barbers, taxi drivers, and waiters. The survey covers eleven regions across the country including Hokkaido, Tohoku, Northern Kanto, Southern Kanto, Tokai, Hokuriku, Kinki, Chugoku, Shikoku, Kyushu, and Okinawa. There were 2,050 people selected among those engaged in jobs in industries. This enabled them to observe any developments that accurately reflect economic activities such as household activity, corporate activity, and employment. A reading above 50.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism.
06:00
GBP
Balance of Trade
{previous}
£-2.291B
{forecast}
{actual}
The UK's trade balance has been in deficit since 1998, due to deficits in trade in goods which are partly offset by surpluses in trade in services. The level of total UK trade in goods as a proportion of total trade in goods and services has been gradually declining since 1986 after peaking at 75 percent in 1985. This is consistent with the rising share of UK trade in services (about 38 percent as of 2021). The UK has trade deficits with China, Norway, Germany, Spain, Poland, Russia, Italy and India; and surpluses with the United States, Ireland, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Singapore and the United Arab Emirates.
06:00
GBP
Construction Output YoY
{previous}
-2%
{forecast}
-1.2%
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, construction output measures the yearly change in the amount charged by construction companies to customers for value of work. The value is based on the sample of 8,000 businesses, employing over 100 people or with an annual turnover of more than £60 million. Construction estimates are a component of GDP from the production approach, contributing approximately 6.4% of GDP.
06:00
GBP
Business Investment YoY Prel
{previous}
2.8%
{forecast}
{actual}
In the UK, business investment is net investment by private and public corporations. These include investments in transport, information and communication technology (ICT) equipment, other machinery and equipment, cultivated assets, intellectual property products (IPP, which includes investment in software, research and development, artistic originals and mineral exploration), and buildings and other structures. It does not include investment by central or local government, investment in dwellings, or the costs associated with the transfer of non-produced assets (such as land).
06:00
GBP
Industrial Production YoY
{previous}
1.4%
{forecast}
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 12 percent of production, as oil and gas extraction accounts for 10 percent. Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output and water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 8 percent.
06:00
GBP
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
{previous}
£-2.9B
{forecast}
{actual}
06:00
GBP
Manufacturing Production MoM
{previous}
1.2%
{forecast}
-0.5%
{actual}
Manufacturing production measures the output of businesses operating in the manufacturing sector. It is the most important sector in the UK and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent).
06:00
GBP
Construction Orders YoY
{previous}
-30.2%
{forecast}
{actual}
In the UK, new orders in construction measures the value of new orders of main contractors by type of work and region within Great Britain. Since April 2013, data have been supplied directly from Barbour ABI with a sample size of all local authorities in England, Scotland and Wales, plus 10,000 contractors per year.
06:00
GBP
GDP YoY
{previous}
-0.2%
{forecast}
{actual}
GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a year-on-year growth rate.
06:00
GBP
GDP 3-Month Avg
{previous}
0.2%
{forecast}
0.4%
{actual}
GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a three-month growth rate, which is a better indicator of the underlying growth in GDP as the monthly figure is likely to be more volatile. In this sense, the monthly release can be thought of as a monthly update on three months’ worth of data on the economy, rather than a figure representing the economy in just one month. Rolling three-month data is calculated by comparing growth in a three-month period with growth in the previous three-month period, for example growth in March to May compared with the previous December to February.
06:00
GBP
Manufacturing Production YoY
{previous}
2.7%
{forecast}
{actual}
Manufacturing production measures the output of businesses operating in the manufacturing sector. It is the most important sector in the UK and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent).
06:00
GBP
GDP Growth Rate YoY Prel
{previous}
-0.2%
{forecast}
0%
{actual}
GDP The United Kingdom is the sixth largest economy in the world and the second largest in Europe after Germany. The Services sector is the most important and accounts for 79 percent to total GDP. The biggest segments within Services are: government, education and health (19 percent of total GDP); real estate (12 percent); professional, scientific and technical activities and administrative and support services (12 percent); wholesale and retail trade (11 percent); and financial and insurance (8 percent). Industry accounts for 21 percent of the GDP and the largest segments within this sector are: manufacturing (10 percent of total GDP) and construction (6 percent). The Agriculture sector accounts for only 1 percent of GDP.
06:00
GBP
Industrial Production MoM
{previous}
1.1%
{forecast}
-0.5%
{actual}
In the United Kingdom, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 70 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: Food, drink and tobacco (11 percent of total production); transport equipment (9 percent); basic metals (8 percent); other manufacturing and repair (6 percent); pharmaceutical products and preparations (6 percent); and rubber and plastic products and non-metallic mineral products (6 percent). Mining and quarrying account for 12 percent of production, as oil and gas extraction accounts for 10 percent. Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning account for 11 percent of total output and water supply, sewerage and waste management account for 8 percent.
06:00
GBP
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel
{previous}
-0.3%
{forecast}
0.4%
{actual}
The services sector is the most important and account for 79 percent of United Kingdom's GDP. The biggest segments within services are: government, education and health (19 percent of total GDP); real estate (12 percent); professional, scientific and technical activities and administrative and support services (12 percent); wholesale and retail trade (11 percent); and financial and insurance (8 percent). Industry accounts for 21 percent of the GDP and the largest segments within this sector are: manufacturing (10 percent of total GDP) and construction (6 percent). The Agriculture sector accounts for only 1 percent of GDP. Composition of the GDP on the expenditure side: household consumption (65 percent), government expenditure (20 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (17 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 28 percent of GDP while imports account for 30 percent, subtracting 2 percent from GDP.
06:00
GBP
Goods Trade Balance
{previous}
£-14.21B
{forecast}
£-14.5B
{actual}
In the UK, goods trade balance is equal to goods exports less goods imports.
06:00
GBP
GDP MoM
{previous}
0.1%
{forecast}
0.1%
{actual}
GDP measures the value of goods and services produced in the UK. The reading refers to a month-over-month growth rate.
06:00
GBP
Business Investment QoQ Prel
{previous}
1.4%
{forecast}
1.9%
{actual}
In the UK, business investment is net investment by private and public corporations. These include investments in transport, information and communication technology (ICT) equipment, other machinery and equipment, cultivated assets, intellectual property products (IPP, which includes investment in software, research and development, artistic originals and mineral exploration), and buildings and other structures. It does not include investment by central or local government, investment in dwellings, or the costs associated with the transfer of non-produced assets (such as land).
