Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 39600... Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 39750... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Compras intradía sobre 39150
WTI: the moment of truth
2020-05-15 • Actualizada
Fundamental
The American crude inventories are shrinking faster than expected. That reflects the global situation around oil: the glut is shrinking, the demand is coming back. That’s good news overall, and the oil price is appreciating that. However, there is certain fundamental equilibrium at the moment: from purely the oil industry standpoint, things are improving with the demand catching up with the supply; from the geopolitical perspective, the US-China relations are a bit tensed and may be preventing the price from rising.
Technical
Now, from a technical perspective, there is an obvious consolidation at the resistance level of $26.50. Very likely, as soon as the fundamental equilibrium is broken, that resistance will also be left: either upwards, or downward, depending on where the news will tilt the table. The main question is, how the absence of news and fundamental silence should be interpreted? In the mid-term, if nothing comes from the US-china front, and neither from the oil sector, it should push the price because the glut is diminishing “naturally” anyway, while any impediment for the market correction would need to come from the political side in a form of a conscious state effort. Hence, the absence of the latter will automatically give way for the price to rise.
Similar
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 18100 con TP1:17900, TP2:17814 y 17630 // Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 18130 con TP: 18219, TP2: 18270 y TP3: 18428
Escenario Alcista: Compras sobre 17910 con TP:18098.07, TP2:18277 y TP3: 18415 Escenario Bajista: Ventas por debajo de 17850 con TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
Últimas noticias
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 2200 / 2194... Escenario alcista más próximo: Compras sobre 2197... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Considera compras en torno a cada zona de demanda...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 5220 ... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 5225 (Si el precio falla en romper por debajo con decisión)