2024-02-29 • Actualizada
At the close of February, the index set a new all-time high at 18098.17 and a monthly volume profile with an uncovered POC* at the top around 17970.07, implying that as long as prices remain below that volume concentration, sales are expected with targets at nearby high volume nodes like 17780.19, from where it rebounded today, with a possible bullish renewal.
However, if the price falls below 17900, it is possible to consider the renewal of sales towards the next high volume node of the month at 17621.51, noting that as long as the last relevant macro support at 17322.94 is not broken, the index will continue in an uptrend, seeking to renew the ascent from one of the indicated points to create new all-time highs in March.
On the other hand, the anticipated surpassing of February's POC at 17971.89 will confirm the market's intention to extend the trend with 18200 as a short-term target and 18500 to be reached in March.
Observe on the chart the high volume buyer nodes from last week, which are objective levels in case prices fall again below 17850. The bulls will defend these high-volume nodes to provoke new price rebounds to break the current all-time high and seek Fibonacci extensions of 61.8 at 18277, and 80% at 18415.45. Generally, a second touch to each zone tends to break it, causing the descent towards the next high-volume node or buying zone.
*Uncovered POC: POC = Point of Control: It is the level or zone where the highest volume concentration occurred. If there was a bearish movement from it previously, it is considered a selling zone and forms a resistance zone. Conversely, if there was a bullish impulse previously, it is considered a buying zone, usually located at lows, thus forming support zones.
**Consider this risk management suggestion:
It is essential that risk management be based on capital and traded volume. Therefore, a maximum risk of 1% of the capital is recommended. It is suggested to use risk management indicators such as Easy Order.
Disclaimer
This document does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell financial products and should not be considered as a solicitation or offer to engage in transactions. This document is economic research by the author and does not intend to provide investment advice or request securities or other types of investment transactions at FBS. Although every investment involves a certain degree of risk, the risk of loss in trading foreign exchange and other leveraged assets can be substantial. Therefore, if you are considering trading in this market, you should be aware of the risks associated with this product to make informed decisions before investing. The material presented here should not be interpreted as advice or trading strategy. All prices mentioned in this report are for informational purposes only.
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 39600... Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 39750... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Compras intradía sobre 39150
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 18100 con TP1:17900, TP2:17814 y 17630 // Escenario alcista anticipado: Compras intradía sobre 18130 con TP: 18219, TP2: 18270 y TP3: 18428
Escenario Alcista: Compras sobre 17910 con TP:18098.07, TP2:18277 y TP3: 18415 Escenario Bajista: Ventas por debajo de 17850 con TP1:17730, TP2: 17700
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 1.0820 / 1.0841... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 1.0827...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 2200 / 2194... Escenario alcista más próximo: Compras sobre 2197... Escenario alcista tras retroceso: Considera compras en torno a cada zona de demanda...
Escenario bajista: Ventas por debajo de 5220 ... Escenario alcista: Compras sobre 5225 (Si el precio falla en romper por debajo con decisión)
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